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Does President Obama Have A Mandate?

Democrats And Members Of The Media Are Ignoring The Facts

Long Beach Business Journal Commentary

By George Economides

December 11th, 2012 – Turn to any television news program and you’ll likely find either an elected Democrat or a member of the media declaring that President Obama received a mandate from the voters on November 6, and that Republicans better get onboard the Obama Train or get left behind.

But the facts – often ignored by some members of the media – say just the opposite.

Get this: If just 214,732 people switched their vote from Obama to Romney, we’d have a new president inaugurated in January. That fact doesn’t scream out mandate and, remember, that’s out of 128.1 million votes cast.

Yes, Obama won the popular vote, but it was by 4.6 million, which means his victory margin was cut by more than half compared to 2008. Four years ago, he won by 9.5 million votes. That is a huge drop in support – something not mentioned by liberal commentators or journalists.

Getting back to how close the presidential race actually was, let’s examine four states: Florida, New Hampshire, Ohio and Virginia. If these four – with a combined electoral college count of 64 – had gone Republican, Romney would have won with 270 electoral votes.

Here are the final results:

Florida (29 electoral votes) gave Obama the edge by 74,309 votes;

Ohio (18) was won by Obama by 166,214 votes;

Virginia (13) went Obama by 149,298 votes; and

New Hampshire (4) sided with Obama by 39,643 votes.

If half of the people plus one in each of those states voted for Romney, he would have been elected president.

Here are a few other facts lost on some in the media:

• Obama won 50.93% to 47.33% – that’s not a blow out.

• One state, California, accounted for most of Obama’s popular vote margin – 3 million of the 4.6 million.

• Of the 435 seats in the House of Representatives, Republicans won a healthy majority of 233.

• Obama won 26 states and Romney won 24 – again, pretty close.

• In four of the stronger pro-union, “Obama Country” states – Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – Obama’s victory margin fell from 11% in 2008 to just 6%. The popular vote difference between Obama and his Republican challenger dropped by nearly 1 million votes. In Michigan, where Obama continuously stressed his auto bailout, his victory margin fell dramatically from 16% in 2008 to 9.5% in 2012.

• Republicans hold 29 state governorships to the Democrat’s 22, with 1 (Rhode Island) Independent.

• Republicans control 29 and Democrats 20 of the upper houses in state legislatures (Nebraska is unicameral nonpartisan legislature), and 28 to 21 of the lower houses.

• Regarding the “gender gap,” while Obama carried the women’s vote, Romney beat Obama among married women 53% to 46% (60% of women voters are married). And for what its worth, there are 6 women governors and 4 are Republican.

• Romney won Independents, 50% to 45% for Obama.

The last point: During the current discussion about raising taxes on “the rich,” Democrats point to polls showing that 60% of Americans are in favor. Why would that be a surprise since 46.4% of Americans pay zero federal income tax? What would the results look like if only the 56.6% who do pay taxes were polled?

The Cultural Dictionary explains: “Politicians elected in landslide victories often claim that their policies have received a mandate from the voters.”

Yes, Obama won the election and he is to be congratulated, but the facts show it was far from a landslide victory.